Agenda

Apr
29
Mon
2024
Tomohiro Hirano (Royal Holloway, University of London) – Credit, Land Speculation, and Long-Run Economic Growth
Apr 29 @ 11 h 00 – 12 h 15
Abstract: This paper presents a model that studies the impact of credit expansions arising from increases in collateral values or lower interest rate policies on long-run productivity and economic growth in a two-sector endogenous growth economy, with the driver of growth lying in one sector (manufacturing) but not in the other (real estate). We show that it is not so much aggregate credit expansion that matters for long-run productivity and economic growth but sectoral credit expansions. Credit expansions associated mainly with relaxation of real estate financing (capital investment financing) will be productivity-and growth-retarding (enhancing). We show that without appropriate financial regulations, low interest rates and more expansionary monetary policy may so encourage land speculation using leverage that productive capital investment and economic growth are decreased. Finally, unlike in standard macroeconomic models, in ours, the equilibrium price of land will be finite even if the safe rate of interest is less than the rate of output growth. Authors: Tomohiro Hirano (Royal Holloway, U of London) and Joseph Stiglitz (Columbia U)
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Shuguang Jiang
Apr 29 @ 14 h 00 – 16 h 15
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Apr
30
Tue
2024
Dinko Dimitrov (Saarland University) – Seemingly Informative Matching Mechanisms
Apr 30 @ 10 h 30 – 11 h 45

We consider a model where market participants can observe the identity of the agents they can be matched with but not their types. A mechanism generates a matching and an announcement at each reported type profile. For the case of one-sided incomplete information, we fully characterize the set of matching states which are both minimally informative and stable, and show that not every assortative matching mechanism is ex-post incentive compatible. Our main result states that every seemingly informative assortative matching mechanism is ex-post incentive compatible. Such mechanisms become manipulable when incompleteness of information applies to both sides of the market.

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May
6
Mon
2024
Isabelle Salle (U of Ottawa) — Lifetime Memories of Inflation: Evidence from Surveys and the Lab
May 6 @ 11 h 00 – 12 h 15
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May
7
Tue
2024
Cars Hommes (University of Amsterdam) — Adaptive behavior in the lab
May 7 @ 10 h 45 – 12 h 00
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May
13
Mon
2024
Michele Fioretti (Sciences Po Paris) — TBA
May 13 @ 11 h 00 – 12 h 15
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May
14
Tue
2024
Vassili Vergopoulos (Université Paris 2)
May 14 @ 10 h 30 – 11 h 45
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May
21
Tue
2024
Sudipta Sarangi (Virginia Tech) – Games Under Network Uncertainty
May 21 @ 10 h 30 – 11 h 45

We consider an incomplete information network game in which agents are only aware of the identity of their immediate neighbors. They form beliefs about the links of their neighbors (the rest of the network) and play a linear-quadratic effort game to maximize interim payoffs. We establish the existence and uniqueness of Bayesian-Nash equilibria in pure strategies. In equilibrium, agents use local knowledge of their direct connections to make inferences about the complementarity strength of their actions with other agents given by their updated beliefs regarding their walks in the network. Using this and an example we show that under incomplete information, besides network architecture, agent identity plays a crucial role in determining strategic behavior. We also characterize equilibrium behavior under different forms of ex-ante prior beliefs like uniform priors, Erdos-Renyi network generation, and homophilic linkage. Not surprisingly, uniform priors provide similar results similar to degree-based models of incomplete information.

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May
23
Thu
2024
Nils Kolling (INSERM, Lyon) – TBA
May 23 @ 10 h 45 – 12 h 00
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May
24
Fri
2024
Sacha Kramer – TBA
May 24 @ 13 h 00 – 13 h 30

Sacha Kramer

 

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